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Anambra Decides 2021: Soludo in early lead over Ozigbo in Anambra guber pre-election poll

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AHEAD of the forthcoming Anambra State Gubernatorial elections slated for November 6, 2021, a new public opinion poll conducted by NOIPolls has favoured Professor Chukwuma Soludo, candidate of the All-Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) in an early 11-point substantial lead over Valentine Ozigbo, candidate of the People Democratic Party (PDP).

The poll was conducted between 7th and 12th October 2021, and it sought to assess the preparedness of voters towards the forthcoming governorship election in Anambra State. From the results of 500 randomly selected legible voters across all the LGAs in Anambra State and interviewed via telephone: Professor Chukwuma Soludo polled 20 per cent; Valentine Ozigbo polled 9 per cent; Ifeanyi Patrick Ubah of YPP (7 per cent); and Andy Nnamdi Uba of APC (6 per cent) amongst other candidates.

Respondents were interviewed on telephone over a random state-wide sample in Anambra State. 500 randomly selected phone-owning residents of the state aged 18 years and above, representing the three senatorial districts of the state were interviewed. With a sample of this size, we can say with 95% confidence that the results obtained are statistically precise – within a range of plus or minus 4.65%.

Of the 500 completed interviews, 50 perc ent were male and 50 per cent female respondents. Samples for the poll were selected randomly for the senatorial districts in representation of the state’s population – Anambra North (27 per cent), Anambra Central (35 per cent), and Anambra South (38 per cent). Also, 28 per cent of respondents were aged between 18 and 35 years; 61 per cent between 36 and 60 years; and 11 per cent above 61 years. In terms of employment status of respondents, top 5 respondents are: Self-employed traders (34 per cent), Businessmen/women (18 per cent), Civil servants (12 per cent), professional workers (8 per cent), and Farmers/Agric workers (7 per cent).

Interestingly, the poll also revealed that while 91 per cent of respondents claimed to have obtained their Permanent Voters Card (PVC), 53 per cent were certain they would come out and vote for the gubernatorial candidate of their choice on 6th November 2021. However, despite this level of optimism and preparedness, a significant proportion (54 per cent) of legible voters remain either undecided or simply refused to divulge their choice of candidate.

In addition, the poll revealed that a significant proportion of legible voters (34 per cent) are skeptical about coming out to vote in the forthcoming election mainly due to insecurities.

Further findings indicated that while Professor Soludo appeared to enjoy significant support across the three senatorial districts of the state, Anambra North (20 per cent), Anambra Central (22 per cent) and Anambra South (20 per cent); Ozigbo’s support base was observed mainly in Anambra North (16 per cent) senatorial districts. Similarly, the poll highlighted Soludo’s support across all age categories ranging the working-class of ages 36 to 60 years (24 per cent), the senior citizens aged 61 and above (21 per cent) and the youths aged between 18 and 35 years (17 per cent); compared to Ozigbo’s whose support averaged 10 per cent across all age categories.

In conclusion, this poll has Soludo in an early lead for the November 6th governorship election in Anambra State with a significant 11-piont lead over the next candidate, Ozigbo. However, the forthcoming election remains a strongly contested race considering the significant proportion of voters (54 per cent) who remain either undecided or seek confidentiality as to their choice of candidate meaning the results can still swing.

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